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Regime Change or Reinvention? Power, The Military, and The Opposition in a Post-Mubarak Egypt
Abstract
The events of Egypt in January and February 2011 will live on as legend for generations to come. As protesters braved water cannon, tear-gas, rubber bullets, Molotov cocktails, and camel-backed thugs, they proceeded to strip the Egyptian regime to its core before forcing long-time strongman, Hosni Mubarak, from power. Many rightfully celebrated and drowned themselves in the spirit of revolution. But politics continued on after Mubarak’s departure as the Supreme Military Council issued communiqués to begin the transition to civilian governance. The puzzle that this paper explores is what are the greatest differences between the new era of Egyptian politics and the one jettisoned along with Hosni Mubarak. This requires examining the area literature from other regions, such as Eastern Europe and Central Asia, to theoretically inform where Egypt might head. I wish to examine two central aspects. Firstly, I examine transformations in the structure of power as outlined by the old and new constitutions. Then, the role of previously excluded opposition elements and how they become part of a political sphere controlled by the military. Using the theoretical lessons from other cases, I will examine the recent contributions from the case of Egypt. For example, how will the Society of Muslim Brothers fit into Egypt’s fresh landscape? Will the many popular committees that launched the revolution be represented? Is the military actually ceding control to civilians? If so, who and what kinds of civilians? How is power structured in the office of the chief executive? Is their balance of power between branches? This paper will answer these questions through intensive field research in Egypt. By developing a strong, first-hand account of Egypt, I hope to mid-wife Egypt’s example into the broader universe of cases. Using qualitative methods, I will conduct interviews with former elites, new elites, and opposition figures to present an in-depth study of what Egypt’s transition from Mubarak looks like. In addition to interviews, I will be gathering documents in Arabic and English that provide insights to the transition’s progress and obstacles before resituating the case’s revelations into the wider study of post-revolutionary politics.
Discipline
Political Science
Geographic Area
Egypt
Sub Area
19th-21st Centuries