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Political Leadership in Transitions: An investigation of Elite Coalition Building in post-revolutionary Egypt
Abstract
Much ink has been spilled on the successes and failures of political movements during the Arab Spring. Amongst a milieu of other factors, the literature has spoken to the role of political leaders, albeit in non-systematic ways. Using strategies from political psychology literature, we investigate how different personality types and leadership styles contributed to the structural posturing of the government following the Egyptian uprising in 2011. We first map the internal stakeholders of the regime (military, political, and civil) through expert surveys. Noting the accessibility problems to many political leaders, we elect to use content analysis derived from public proclamations by elites. Using the Leadership Trait Analysis (LTA) scheme in the Profiler Plus software, we analyze the stakeholders’ rhetoric across five critical political junctures between 2011-2014. Between these time periods, we observe three elections and two referendums that were deemed polarizing in the revolutionary context. We hypothesize that leadership traits had an impact on coalition building behavior amongst elites. This approach can provide an avenue to examine leadership behavior and contribute to the growing literature on elite decision-making in transitionary political environments. We conclude that there is a flourishing transnational research agenda investigating how individual personalities, which are amplified during times of crisis, contribute to the structure of post-revolutionary governments.
Discipline
Political Science
Geographic Area
Egypt
Sub Area
None