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Terrorism, Insurgency, State Repression, and Cycles of Violence
Abstract
Violent conflicts between ethno-religious organizations and states have shaped the development of many countries. We investigate the dynamic violent relationships between the organizations of discriminated groups and the governments in Middle-Eastern and North African countries. Our estimated dynamic models, including with heterogeneous responses, reveal dampened cycles of violence between states and politico-ethnic organizations due to violent mutual responses. Such cycles are absent with terrorism, which is more likely after an insurgency. Finally, we provide a game-theoretical interpretative framework, which allows us to identify the Stag Hunt game as an appropriate summary of the strategic links of states and minority organizations.
Discipline
Economics
Geographic Area
All Middle East
Sub Area
19th-21st Centuries