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Examining Ethnic Politics in Minority Dominant Regimes
Abstract
This paper attempts to answer the question of why ethnic identity rather than national identity is more likely to be salient after an ethnic majority overcomes a dominant minority rule? Will an ethnic majority succeeding a dominant minority pursue an authentic representative government or will it reinvigorate its own ethnic identity through the pursuit of ethnic politics? Ethnic minority governance inevitably raises questions of legitimacy and inclusivity. Even in secular democracies, where courts protect citizen rights, democracy is far from perfect, but in countries that divide along ethnicity, religion, sector, or tribal loyalty, the history of all-inclusive governance is not encouraging. Typically, minority rule in nondemocratic countries tends to despotism and autocracy. Even when the policies of dominant minority regimes scarcely differ from those of majoritarian governments, outcomes can vary dramatically. The paper utilizes a comparative historical analysis in combination with survey data, to compare dominant minority rule in three cases from the Middle East: Iraq, Syria, and Bahrain. It analyzes how ethnic conflict is prevalent and prolonged in countries where ethnic minorities rule and how the outcome ultimately impacts state national identity. The paper maintains that ethnic identity issues and ethnic conflict do not resolve with majoritarian rule. In fact, if a majoritarian party assumes power after a dominant minority government, it will likely consolidate its own identity and pursue ethnic politics by way of an ethnocultural form of self-determination. Indirectly, this paper contributes to the debate on the incompatibility of ethnicity and nationalism, on the one hand, and with nation and state-building, on the other.
Discipline
Political Science
Geographic Area
None
Sub Area
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